Friday, August 10, 2007

Warmer still?

...until now, [most] climate forecasters who worry about what greenhouse gases could be doing to climate...looked 100 years ahead, far enough so that they could safely ignore what's happening now. No more. In [ Improved Surface Temperature Prediction for the Coming Decade from a Global Climate Model], researchers take their first stab at forecasting climate a decade ahead with current conditions in mind. The result is a bit disquieting. Natural climate variability driven by the ocean appears to have held greenhouse warming at bay the past few years, but the warming, according to the forecast, should come roaring back before the end of the decade.
--from news report Humans and Nature Duel Over the Next Decade's Climate (Science, 10 August 2007). See also Ten-year climate model unveiled.

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