According to James Annan the chance of climate sensitivity exceeding 4.5C is less than 5%.
Dave Stainforth says "even if there's just a half per cent chance of destruction of society, I would class that as a very big risk."
Go read (as they say): Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change.Ulrich Beck says "[cosmopolitanism] just might make the improbable possible, namely the survival of humanity beyond the 21st century without a lapse back into barbarism."
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