"The April mean temperature is almost 5 standard deviations above the mean, a "5 sigma event" in statistical parlance. Under the assumption of stationary 'normal' statistics, such an event is considered astronomically improbable (less than 1 in a million), and, like the summer heat wave in Europe in 2003 (which was a 5 sigma event in Switzerland, 3 sigma over Europe as a whole), deserves special attention".Did any of those -- scientists, artists or others - associated with projects such as Cape Farewell (see also here and here) have a presentiment of such an event?
Monday, May 22, 2006
Freak warmth in Svalbard
More on the Arctic at Realclimate.org describes a remarkable warming event in Svalbard this April:
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I wasn't on last year's trip to Svalbard but I have been worrying about the melting of the Arctic ice for serreal years now. See:http://www.daviesand.com/Choices/Precautionary_Planning/Arctic_Ice/
The sharp rise in temperature on Svaalbard is not an isolated event. It is all part of a rapid decline in Arctic sea ice. See:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/science/story/0,,1774815,00.html
In other words the situation is despeate but the climate modellers still have faith in their models and will not believe it is happening.
C
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