Over a superb Cretan meal, our friend was even more pessimistic and better informed than the author of this article from The Economist.
A marriage de raison with the EU looks less likely. Both Islamism and militant nationalism are on the rise. A bloody coup - with a hat tip to/from the US administration - is quite possible, he thinks.
An observation by Hugh and Nicole Pope looks as applicable as ever: "More important than its cultural flaws are the structural defects of Ataturk's republican state". What grounds for hope? Perhaps in the sanity and huge decency of some Turks and their friends elsewhere.